Georgia House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Yg Nyghtstorm a 64% chance of winning the Georgia House 2022 primary. Michael Corbin won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Yg Nyghtstorm — 64% model odds
  2. Mark Gonsalves — 9% model odds
  3. Michael Corbin — 9% model odds (won)
  4. Lisa Mccoy — 9% model odds
  5. Mary West — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts