Georgia House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carolyn Bourdeaux a 48% chance of winning the Georgia House 2022 primary. Lucy Mcbath won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Carolyn Bourdeaux — 48% model odds
2. Lucy Mcbath — 47% model odds (won)
3. Donna Mcleod — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts