Florida Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Val Demings a 78% chance of winning the Florida Senate 2022 primary. Val Demings won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Val Demings — 78% model odds (won)
  2. Brian Rush — 7% model odds
  3. William Sanchez — 7% model odds
  4. Ricardo De La Fuente — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts