Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carlos Garin a 70% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Carlos A. Gimenez won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Carlos Garin — 70% model odds
- Carlos A. Gimenez — 15% model odds (won)
- Karl "Kw" Miller — 15% model odds