Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marìa Elvira Salazar a 74% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Marìa Elvira Salazar won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Marìa Elvira Salazar — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Frank Polo — 26% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts