Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Carla Spalding a 61% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Carla Spalding won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Carla Spalding — 61% model odds (won)
  2. Rubin Young — 39% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts