Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James "Jim" Pruden a 33% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Joe Budd won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. James "Jim" Pruden — 33% model odds
  2. Joe Budd — 11% model odds (won)
  3. Darlene Cerezo Swaffar — 11% model odds
  4. Christy Mclaughlin — 11% model odds
  5. Steven Chess — 11% model odds
  6. Ira Weinstein — 11% model odds
  7. Myles Perrone — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts