Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Mast a 25% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Brian Mast won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brian Mast — 25% model odds (won)
  2. Jeff Buongiorno — 25% model odds
  3. Melissa Martz — 25% model odds
  4. Ljubo Skrbic — 25% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts