Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Vern Buchanan a 94% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Vern Buchanan won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Vern Buchanan — 94% model odds (won)
  2. Martin Hyde — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts