Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Alan M. Cohn a 51% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Alan M. Cohn won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Alan M. Cohn — 51% model odds (won)
2. Eddie Geller — 36% model odds
3. Gavin Brown — 4% model odds
4. Cesar Ramirez — 4% model odds
5. William Vanhorn — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts