Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave James Judge a 57% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. James Judge won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. James Judge — 57% model odds (won)
  2. Jerry Torres — 33% model odds
  3. Samar "Sam" Nashagh — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts