Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Anna Paulina Luna a 48% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Anna Paulina Luna won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Anna Paulina Luna — 48% model odds (won)
  2. Amanda Makki — 29% model odds
  3. Kevin Hayslett — 17% model odds
  4. Christine Y. Quinn — 3% model odds
  5. Moneer Kheireddine — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts