Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gus Michael Bilirakis a 68% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Gus Michael Bilirakis won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Gus Michael Bilirakis — 68% model odds (won)
2. Sid Preskitt — 17% model odds
3. Jack Martin — 5% model odds
4. Chris Leiser — 5% model odds
5. Brian Perras — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts