Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Thuy "Twee" Lowe a 34% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Calvin B. Wimbish won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Thuy "Twee" Lowe — 34% model odds
2. Peter Weed — 23% model odds
3. Calvin B. Wimbish — 14% model odds (won)
4. Tuan Le — 10% model odds
5. Willie Montague — 10% model odds
6. Lateresa "L.A." Jones — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts