Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scotty Moore a 73% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Scotty Moore won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Scotty Moore — 73% model odds (won)
  2. Jose Castillo — 9% model odds
  3. Adianis Morales — 9% model odds
  4. Sergio E. Ortiz — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts