Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Cory Mills a 39% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Cory Mills won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Cory Mills — 39% model odds (won)
  2. Anthony Sabatani — 39% model odds
  3. Brady Duke — 6% model odds
  4. Ted Edwards — 5% model odds
  5. Rusty Roberts — 4% model odds
  6. Erika Benfield — 3% model odds
  7. Scott Sturgill — 3% model odds
  8. Armando Al Santos — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts