Florida House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Karen Green a 36% chance of winning the Florida House 2022 primary. Karen Green won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Karen Green — 36% model odds (won)
  2. Al Krulick — 21% model odds
  3. Hilsia "Tatiana" Fernandez — 21% model odds
  4. Allek Pastrana — 21% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts