DC House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eleanor H. Norton a 29% chance of winning the DC House 2022 primary. Eleanor H. Norton won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Eleanor H. Norton — 29% model odds (won)
2. Kelly Mikel Williams — 14% model odds
3. Wendy "Hope Dealer" Hamilton — 14% model odds
4. Scattered — 14% model odds
5. Natalie Stracuzzi — 14% model odds
6. Scattered — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts