Connecticut Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Richard Blumenthal a 28% chance of winning the Connecticut Senate 2022 primary. Leora R. Levy won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Richard Blumenthal — 28% model odds
2. Leora R. Levy — 12% model odds (won)
3. Themis Klarides — 12% model odds
4. Peter Lumaj — 12% model odds
5. Nicholas Connors — 12% model odds
6. John J. Flynn — 12% model odds
7. Robert Finley Hyde — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts