Colorado House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Barbara Kirkmeyer a 35% chance of winning the Colorado House 2022 primary. Barbara Kirkmeyer won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Barbara Kirkmeyer — 35% model odds (won)
2. Jan Kulmann — 33% model odds
3. Lori A. Saine — 19% model odds
4. Tyler Allcorn — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts