Colorado House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Soledad Sandoval Tafoya a 62% chance of winning the Colorado House 2022 primary. Adam Frisch won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Soledad Sandoval Tafoya — 62% model odds
2. Adam Frisch — 32% model odds (won)
3. Alex Walker — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts