California Senate 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Akinyemi Agbede a 17% chance of winning the California Senate 2022 primary. Alex Padilla won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Akinyemi Agbede — 17% model odds
- Alex Padilla — 11% model odds (won)
- Timothy, Jr. Ursich — 11% model odds
- Dan O'Dowd — 11% model odds
- Alex Padilla — 11% model odds (won)
- Dan O'Dowd — 11% model odds
- Timothy J Ursich — 11% model odds
- Obaidul Huq Pirjada — 11% model odds