California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Corey Gustafson a 50% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Corey Gustafson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Corey Gustafson — 50% model odds (won)
2. David Chiddick — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts