California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Scott Peters a 50% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Scott Peters won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Scott Peters — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Kylie Louie Vie Benitez Taitano — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts