California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian Maryott a 42% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Brian Maryott won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brian Maryott — 42% model odds (won)
  2. Lisa A. Bartlett — 19% model odds (won)
  3. Christopher Rodriguez — 13% model odds
  4. Josiah O'Neil — 13% model odds
  5. Renee Taylor — 13% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts