California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Amy Phan West a 33% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Amy Phan West won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Amy Phan West — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Scott Baugh — 32% model odds (won)
  3. Errol Webber — 20% model odds
  4. Brian Burley — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts