California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Christopher J. Gonzales a 43% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Christopher J. Gonzales won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Christopher J. Gonzales — 43% model odds (won)
  2. Mike Nguyen — 29% model odds (won)
  3. Felix, Jr. Rocha — 29% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts