California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Omar Navarro a 50% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Omar Navarro won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Omar Navarro — 50% model odds (won)
2. Allison Pratt — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts