California House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert Garcia a 41% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Robert Garcia won, matching the model's top pick.
- Robert Garcia — 41% model odds (won)
- Joaquín Beltrán — 34% model odds
- Cristina Garcia — 8% model odds (won)
- Peter Mathews — 6% model odds
- J. Nicole Lopez — 6% model odds
- William Moses Summerville — 6% model odds