California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Will Rollins a 50% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Will Rollins won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Will Rollins — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Shrina Kurani — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts