California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Young Kim a 39% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Young Kim won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Young Kim — 39% model odds (won)
  2. Greg Raths — 31% model odds (won)
  3. Nick Taurus — 31% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts