California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eric J. Ching a 50% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Eric J. Ching won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Eric J. Ching — 50% model odds (won)
  2. John Sarega — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts