California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sydney Kamlager a 51% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Sydney Kamlager won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Sydney Kamlager — 51% model odds (won)
  2. Jan C. Perry — 17% model odds (won)
  3. Daniel W. Lee — 13% model odds
  4. Sandra Mendoza — 9% model odds
  5. Michael Shure — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts