California House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Derrick R. Gates a 34% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Derrick R. Gates won, matching the model's top pick.
- Derrick R. Gates — 34% model odds (won)
- Joe E., Iii Collins — 22% model odds (won)
- Ariana Hakami — 22% model odds
- Claire Ragge — 22% model odds