California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ted W. Lieu a 50% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Ted W. Lieu won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Ted W. Lieu — 50% model odds (won)
2. Colin Kilpatrick Obrien — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts