California House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rafael Carcamo a 36% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Rafael Carcamo won, matching the model's top pick.
- Rafael Carcamo — 36% model odds (won)
- Bob Erbst — 33% model odds
- Mike Cargile — 31% model odds (won)