California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Norma J. Torres a 50% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Norma J. Torres won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Norma J. Torres — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Lloyd A. Stevens — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts