California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ronda Kennedy a 26% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Ronda Kennedy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ronda Kennedy — 26% model odds (won)
  2. Patrick Lee Gipson — 21% model odds (won)
  3. Johnny J. Nalbandian — 21% model odds
  4. William "Gunner" Meurer — 21% model odds
  5. Paloma Zuniga — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts