California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Adam B. Schiff a 40% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Adam B. Schiff won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Adam B. Schiff — 40% model odds (won)
2. G "Maebe A Girl" Pudlo — 32% model odds (won)
3. Sal Genovese — 27% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts