California House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Margarita Maria Carranza a 33% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Margarita Maria Carranza won, matching the model's top pick.
- Margarita Maria Carranza — 33% model odds (won)
- Andy Miranda — 33% model odds (won)
- Rudy Melendez — 33% model odds