California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brian E. Hawkins a 17% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Brian E. Hawkins won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brian E. Hawkins — 17% model odds (won)
  2. Brian M. Tyson — 17% model odds (won)
  3. James Francis Gibson — 17% model odds
  4. Burt Thakur — 17% model odds
  5. Ceci Truman — 17% model odds
  6. Jonathan Reiss — 17% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts