California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michele R. Weslander Quaid a 50% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Michele R. Weslander Quaid won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Michele R. Weslander Quaid — 50% model odds (won)
2. Jeff Frankenfield — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts