California House 2022 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave David G. Valadao a 38% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. David G. Valadao won, matching the model's top pick.
- David G. Valadao — 38% model odds (won)
- Chris Mathys — 31% model odds (won)
- Adam Medeiros — 31% model odds