California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Marisa Wood a 51% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Marisa Wood won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Marisa Wood — 51% model odds (won)
  2. Ben Dewell — 49% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts