California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ro Khanna a 43% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Ro Khanna won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ro Khanna — 43% model odds (won)
  2. Stephen Forbes — 29% model odds (won)
  3. Rao Ravul — 29% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts