California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Peter Ohtaki a 33% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Peter Ohtaki won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Peter Ohtaki — 33% model odds (won)
2. Richard B. Fox — 33% model odds (won)
3. Benjamin Thomas Solomon — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts