California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Anna G. Eshoo a 54% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Anna G. Eshoo won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Anna G. Eshoo — 54% model odds (won)
  2. Greg Lin Tanaka — 15% model odds
  3. Rishi Kumar — 10% model odds (won)
  4. Ajwang Rading — 10% model odds
  5. Travis Andrew Odekirk — 10% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts