California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kevin Mullin a 43% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Kevin Mullin won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kevin Mullin — 43% model odds (won)
  2. David J. Canepa — 29% model odds (won)
  3. Emily Beach — 14% model odds
  4. Andrew G. Watters — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts