California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tamika Hamilton a 46% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Tamika Hamilton won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tamika Hamilton — 46% model odds (won)
2. Bret Daniels — 11% model odds (won)
3. Chris Bish — 11% model odds
4. Karla Black — 11% model odds
5. D. Keith, Jr. Langford — 11% model odds
6. Chris Richardson — 11% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts