California House 2022 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tom Mcclintock a 41% chance of winning the California House 2022 primary. Tom Mcclintock won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Tom Mcclintock — 41% model odds (won)
2. Nathan F. Magsig — 20% model odds (won)
3. David Main — 20% model odds
4. Kelsten Charles Obert — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts